Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description
Strengths:
Diverse customer base, spread across automotive sub-segments and geographies
SCL’s customer base is diverse, spread across sub-segments of the auto sector, such as two-wheelers, passenger cars, and CVs, and across geographies. Healthy demand growth from two-wheeler and domestic CV segment in fiscal 2018, and for most of fiscal 2019, enabled good growth in domestic volumes for SCL, besides offsetting impact of sluggish demand from passenger vehicle OEMs. Albeit moderation in aluminium prices in the recent past (which is a pass through) impacted realisations. Higher aluminium prices have supported revenues since fiscal 2021. The company has enhanced its production capacity, including for passenger OEM customers, which has enabled it to increase market share during the recovery in fiscal 2021, and benefit of same is continuing in fiscal 2022 also.
Healthy share of exports also enhances SCL’s revenue and geographic diversity. While the company’s share of export revenue declined to 35-37% in fiscals 2017 and 2018, from over 40% in fiscal 2016 due to sluggish demand from European customers, better demand from US markets helped exports recover to over 45% of revenues in fiscal 2021 and share of exports is expected to remain over 40-45% in the near to medium term.
Presence across sub-segments and geographies, partially offsets the impact of cyclicality inherent in the business. The diverse customer base and increased demand from export as well as domestic customers, and increased contribution from recently expanded capacities should support revenue growth over the medium term.
Above average operating efficiencies
Operating profitability has been largely stable at 10-13% since fiscal 2014 (except a temporary blip in fiscal 2018), backed by ability to pass on changes in raw material prices onto end customers. Implementation of industry-wide best practices, such as Total Quality Management, enterprise resource planning and other internal automation measures, help products meet the rigorous standards of the top global auto manufacturers. Despite limited technological collaboration, SCL has maintained steady business with most customers, on the back of its adequate operating capabilities. During fiscal 2020, SCL has implemented proactive cost optimization measures in low cost automations, employee consolidation, recycling of materials etc. which has facilitated better cost management during the downturn and weather the impact of pandemic related disruptions. Benefits of these has started to accrue as operating margins are being maintained at over 13% over the last few quarters and are expected to continue at 12-14%.
Adequate financial risk profile and healthy financial flexibility
SCL’s financial risk profile is supported by healthy net worth (~Rs 2250 crore at September 30, 2021), and adequate debt protection metrics. SCL had undertaken large capital expenditure amounting to ~Rs 400 crore in fiscals 2018 and 2019 which was partly funded through debt. This in turn led to moderation in gearing to 1.06 times as of March 31, 2019. However, with completion of the large capex in fiscal 2019 and only nominal capital spends over the next two fiscals, gearing reduced to 0.88 time at March 31, 2021. In the first quarter of fiscal 2022, SCL sold 5% stake in TVS Motor for Rs 1495 crore.
The company’s capex spend is expected at Rs. 50-60 crore over the next two fiscals, mainly for routine modernisation, with sufficient headroom available in existing capacity. As of fiscal 2021, SCL had invested Rs.155 crore in SHUI (32% stake) and is expected to avail debt of Rs 200 crore over the near to medium term, partly as reimbursement of investments done in SHUI and also for further investments in operations and meeting debt obligations. SHUI, which is into similar business as SCL, had negligible operations during fiscal 2021, and the initial period of current fiscal due to pandemic related disruptions in the US market. However, operations have commenced in the second half of fiscal 2022 and are being ramped-up. The company is expected to break even in fiscal 2023, and SCL is expected to support SHUI in the interim by infusing moderate equity to meet debt repayments, and other investments. However, SACL is expected to continue being the major shareholder of SHUI, and no guarantee is likely to be provided by SCL for debt raised by SHUI. Any change to this effect, will be a rating monitorable.
The additional debt being raised will not materially impact SCL’s gearing as its net worth has materially improved due to the sale stake in TVS Motor. Other debt protection metrics like interest cover should also sustain at over 4-5 times over the medium term.
With the plan of demerger being announced, the stake in TVS Motors is expected to be retained in the holding company while SCLDCD will be holding the operating assets. Nonetheless, due to common promoters and holding structures, CRISIL expects both companies to benefit from the holding in TVS Motor. CRISIL Ratings believes SCL is unlikely to dilute its stake in TVS Motor below 50% in the medium term and in the interim, the market value of the stake will continue to underpin SCL’s financial flexibility, in addition to providing steady dividend income. Any significant dilution in stake in TVS Motor or material decline in market value of holding, will remain a rating monitorable.
Weaknesses
Significant exposure to cyclical CV segment:
SCL has a high exposure to the CV segment given that it almost derives its entire export revenues from the CV segment, although the domestic customer base is spread across automotive industry sub-segments. Any cut in production schedules by key CV customers could result in a decline in capacity utilisation, and return on capital employed (RoCE), especially with specific lines being devoted to key customers.
While SCL has enhanced its production capacity and hence will be able to manage sudden surge in offtake by customers over the medium term, it remains vulnerable to cyclical offtake mainly by the CV segment, which could affect both revenue and profitability.
Susceptibility to pricing pressure from OEMs
SCL is highly dependent on offtake by Tier-I auto component suppliers as well as OEMs, in both the domestic and export markets. High exposure to OEMs exposes the company to significant pricing pressure. While SCL is able to pass on key raw materials costs to its customers, it has limited flexibility in passing on increase in conversion costs like power costs, employee costs etc., although the continuous cost control measures and process improvements over the years have partly mitigated the impact.